FanBoardHQ

Utah State

Utah State University · 2024 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#110
Efficiency
-11.2
105th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 12
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Utah State went 4-8 and was ranked 110th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 80th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 118th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with an 82nd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 59th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
110th
-5.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
87th
full season
87th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
58th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Robert MorrisNECW 3614+21.9100%-12.8Q4
2@ USCBig Ten#34L 048-28.10%-24.7Q1
3vs UtahBig 12#66L 2138-16.00%-10.2Q3
4@ TempleAmerican Athletic#123L 2945+5.60%-31.7Q4
6@ Boise StateMountain West#19L 3062-27.10%-15.7Q1
7vs UNLVMountain West#31L 3450-18.10%-20.1Q2
8vs New MexicoMountain West#107L 4550+5.70%6.5Q4
9@ WyomingMountain West#118W 2725-1.7100%-9.1Q4
11@ Washington StatePac-12#61L 2849-15.20%-24.2Q3
12vs Hawai'iMountain West#105W 5510+4.5100%15.5Q4
13vs San Diego StateMountain West#125W 4120+10.0100%-0.9Q4
14@ Colorado StateMountain West#74L 3742-5.20%-9.7Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.9-8.1+11.8-13-25-10-32-16-207-9-2416-1-10Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 82nd
SR 57thYPP 88thEPA 98th
RushingEff 59th
SR 67thYPP 53rdEPA 69th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 120th
SR 128thYPP 110thEPA 121st
Rush defenseEff 134th
SR 114thYPP 137thEPA 133rd
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -0.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 65th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 50%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 83.0Q1 · Allowed: 54.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 79.0Q2 · Allowed: 157.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 80.0Q3 · Allowed: 57.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 107.0Q4 · Allowed: 121.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtah StateOffenseDefense
Utah State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 80th
-2.3
Field position: -1.2Finishing drives: -1.0
Field position -1.2Finishing drives -1.0= -2.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 102nd · Finishing 77th

Defensive EffRanked 118th
-8.1
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -8.4
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -8.4= -8.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 47th · Finishing 124th

2.27 points per drive on offense, 2.53 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(235)54% / 46%48%6.2
Q2(216)56% / 44%45%6.7
Q3(172)53% / 47%44%6.1
Q4(196)53% / 47%47%7.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(166)10.257%7.9
2nd(159)7.940%5.7
3rd(104)7.436%6.1
4th(13)5.354%13.3
All (442)46%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(201)10.145%6.3
2nd(103)7.147%7.2
3rd(61)5.849%5.4
4th(12)2.858%3.0
All (377)46%6.3

Utah State, all games.